Here is my prediction. Deep red areas are going to go for Trump backed candidates. Blue areas will stay blue and more of the purple areas will move to blue. I think Republicans are overplaying their hand and thing restrictions don't cut both ways. There is only one reason Republicans overperformed in 2020 and that was because of Trump. His brand is heavily tarnished and he is not going to be on any ticket. People are lazy and they want Trump so as long as he's not actually running for anything, Republicans won't get off their lazy butts and go vote. I predict a smashing victory for Democrats because they are spooked by the thought of Trump winning again.